ECM is a probabilistic algorithm. Its probability of success depends on the size of the (usually unknown) factor p to be found, on the step 1 and 2 bounds B1 and B2, and possibly on some other implementation-dependent parameters.
The table below indicates for each factor size what is the optimal step 1 limit B1 to use (first argument of the GMP-ECM program) to find a factor of a given number of bits, with the corresponding number of expected curves. These data were computed experimentally by Pierrick in June 2019 with GMP-ECM 7 (using the output of ecm -v) for a 512-bit input. The optimal B1 values he found below follow a regression of the form log(B1) = a*bits+b, with a = 0.0750 and b = 5.332. and the corresponding total effort (B1 times number of curves) follows a regression of the form log(B1*ncurves) = d*bits2+e*bits+f, with d = -0.000203, e = 0.177 and f = 3.097. In terms of the number of curves, one seems to have B1 = 150*ncurves1.5. This table, where the B1 values grow more quickly than in the above one, should be considered as more accurate as the table below, which is kept for reference.| bits | digits | optimal B1 | expected curves |
| 30 | 9 | 1358 | 2 |
| 35 | 11 | 1270 | 5 |
| 40 | 12 | 1629 | 10 |
| 45 | 14 | 4537 | 10 |
| 50 | 15 | 12322 | 9 |
| 55 | 17 | 12820 | 18 |
| 60 | 18 | 21905 | 21 |
| 65 | 20 | 24433 | 41 |
| 70 | 21 | 32918 | 66 |
| 75 | 23 | 64703 | 71 |
| 80 | 24 | 76620 | 119 |
| 85 | 26 | 155247 | 123 |
| 90 | 27 | 183849 | 219 |
| 95 | 29 | 245335 | 321 |
| 100 | 30 | 445657 | 339 |
| 105 | 32 | 643986 | 468 |
| 110 | 33 | 1305195 | 439 |
| 115 | 35 | 1305195 | 818 |
| 120 | 36 | 3071166 | 649 |
| 125 | 38 | 3784867 | 949 |
| 130 | 39 | 4572523 | 1507 |
| 135 | 41 | 7982718 | 1497 |
| 140 | 42 | 9267681 | 2399 |
| 145 | 44 | 22025673 | 1826 |
| 150 | 46 | 22025673 | 3159 |
| 155 | 47 | 26345943 | 4532 |
| 160 | 49 | 35158748 | 6076 |
| 165 | 50 | 46919468 | 8177 |
| 170 | 52 | 47862548 | 14038 |
| 175 | 53 | 153319098 | 7166 |
| 180 | 55 | 153319098 | 12017 |
| 185 | 56 | 188949210 | 16238 |
| 190 | 58 | 410593604 | 13174 |
| 195 | 59 | 496041799 | 17798 |
| 200 | 61 | 491130495 | 29584 |
| 205 | 62 | 1067244762 | 23626 |
| 210 | 64 | 1056677983 | 38609 |
| 215 | 65 | 1328416470 | 49784 |
| 220 | 67 | 1315263832 | 81950 |
| 225 | 68 | 2858117139 | 63461 |
| digits | optimal B1 | expected curves (default parameters for GMP-ECM 6) |
expected curves (default parameters for GMP-ECM 7) |
| 20 | 11,000 | 86 | 107 |
| 25 | 50,000 | 214 | 261 |
| 30 | 250,000 | 430 | 513 |
| 35 | 1,000,000 | 910 | 1,071 |
| 40 | 3,000,000 | 2,351 | 2,753 |
| 45 | 11,000,000 | 4,482 | 5,208 |
| 50 | 43,000,000 | 7,557 | 8,704 |
| 55 | 110,000,000 | 17,884 | 20,479 |
| 60 | 260,000,000 | 42,057 | 47,888 |
| 65 | 850,000,000 | 69,471 | 78,923 |
| 70 | 2,900,000,000 | 102,212 | 115,153 |
| 75 | 7,600,000,000 | 188,056 | 211,681 |
| 80 | 25,000,000,000 | 265,557 | 296,479 |